True belief and epistemic luck › Can stronger justification solve the problem?

Michael BrenndoerferUpdated August 10, 20262 min read
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Part 5 of 12Knowledge and Doubt
Chapter 59True belief and epistemic luck › Can stronger justification solve the problem?
Reading section 6 of 9 · Can stronger justification solve the problem? · 2 minSection 6 of 9 · 2 min

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True belief and epistemic luck › Can stronger justification solve the problem?Section view · Sections in this chapter6 / 9 ↓

One response denies that Smith was justified in the first place. Perhaps a president's assurance is not sufficient, or a history of seeing somebody drive a Ford does not justify believing they own one. Particular details can certainly be questioned. The issue for this response is whether it preserves the intended fallible conception of justification while excluding the cases for a principled reason.

Demanding absolute certainty would change the task substantially. If any possibility of a misleading assurance prevents justification, many ordinary beliefs supported by testimony would fail the condition. A defender is free to propose such a stringent account, but must explain its scope and consequences. Simply pointing out that Smith's evidence can mislead does not answer an argument that explicitly allows justified error.

A different response questions the transmission of justification through deduction. Perhaps the oddly constructed disjunction should not inherit the status of Smith's starting belief. But refusing that move also requires explanation: the inference from P to "P or Q" is valid, and the case says Smith understands it. We would need an account of justification that explains why this use of a valid inference fails.

These responses show why a counterexample can generate further theory without settling everything. The case presents a combination of commitments under pressure. Revising any one commitment may block it, but a revision should also make sense in ordinary cases beyond the puzzle. Otherwise the repair risks becoming a rule invented solely to exclude the troublesome example.

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