Master interest rate swap valuation through bond portfolio and FRA methods. Learn curve bootstrapping, DV01 risk measures, and hedging applications.
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Interest Rate Swap Valuation and Applications
In the previous chapter, we introduced the mechanics of interest rate swaps: the exchange of fixed-rate payments for floating-rate payments between two counterparties. You learned how these instruments work, what drives their use, and the basic terminology that market participants employ. Now we turn to the critical question: how do we determine the value of a swap?
Swap valuation lies at the heart of trading, risk management, and financial engineering. Whether you are quoting prices to clients, hedging interest rate exposure, or constructing synthetic assets, you need to understand how to price these instruments from first principles. This chapter develops two equivalent approaches to swap valuation, shows how to extract the swap curve from market data, and explores the practical applications that make swaps indispensable to modern finance.
The key insight is that a swap can be decomposed into more fundamental instruments we've already studied. We can view it either as a portfolio of bonds or as a portfolio of forward rate agreements. Both perspectives lead to the same value, and understanding both deepens your intuition about how interest rate risk flows through these contracts.
Swap Valuation as a Bond Portfolio
The most intuitive approach to swap valuation treats each leg of the swap as a bond. This perspective leverages our existing knowledge of bond pricing and allows us to value swaps using familiar present value techniques. Consider a plain vanilla interest rate swap from your perspective if you are receiving fixed and paying floating. This position is economically equivalent to:
- Being long a fixed-rate bond (receiving fixed coupon payments)
- Being short a floating-rate bond (making floating-rate payments)
The value of the swap is simply the difference between these two bond values. This decomposition works because the cash flows of the swap exactly replicate the combined cash flows of holding a fixed-rate bond while having borrowed at a floating rate. Understanding this equivalence transforms swap valuation from an abstract exercise into a straightforward application of bond mathematics.
Fixed-Rate Bond Valuation
The fixed leg of a swap generates a stream of known cash flows, which makes it the more straightforward component to value. Unlike the floating leg, where future payments depend on interest rates that have not yet been determined, the fixed leg's payments are contractually specified at inception. This certainty allows us to apply standard present value techniques directly.
If the swap has a notional principal , a fixed rate , and payment dates at times , we can calculate the present value of the fixed leg by discounting each cash flow back to today. The formula for this present value is:
where:
- : present value of the fixed leg
- : fixed interest rate
- : day count fraction for period
- : notional principal amount
- : discount factor from today to time
- : payment date for period
- : total number of payment periods
- : present value of the coupon payments
- : present value of the notional principal repayment
The final term represents the notional principal "repayment" at maturity. Even though no principal actually exchanges hands in a swap, we include it for the bond equivalence to hold. This might look like an accounting trick, but it's essential: by adding and subtracting the notional principal on both legs, we maintain the mathematical equivalence between the swap and the bond portfolio. The notional terms cancel when we compute the net swap value, but including them allows us to value each leg independently using standard bond pricing formulas.
Recall from our discussion of bond pricing in Part II, Chapter 2 that the discount factor represents the present value of receiving one dollar at time . These discount factors are derived from the term structure of interest rates and encode all the information we need about the time value of money across different horizons.
Floating-Rate Bond Valuation
The floating leg presents an interesting challenge: we don't know the future floating rates. At first glance, this uncertainty might seem to make valuation impossible, since we cannot discount cash flows that we cannot predict. However, a useful property simplifies the calculation and clarifies how floating-rate instruments behave.
Just after a floating-rate reset, a floating-rate bond trades at par because each future payment will be set to the prevailing market rate. This property is key to understanding floating-rate instruments.
To understand why, consider what happens at a reset date. The floating rate for the upcoming period is set to the current market rate, which by definition represents fair compensation for lending money over that period. At the next reset, the same thing happens: the rate adjusts to whatever the market rate is at that time. Since each coupon payment reflects the market rate at the time it was set, the bond always offers a fair market return. Consequently, investors are willing to pay exactly face value for it, and the bond's value equals its face value at each reset date.
This logic extends to any future reset date as well. Looking forward from today, we know that at each future reset, the bond will be worth par. This recursive property dramatically simplifies our valuation task.
Between reset dates, the floating leg's value equals the present value of the next payment plus par:
where:
- : value of the floating leg between resets
- : floating rate set for the current period
- : day count fraction for the current period
- : notional principal
- : discount factor to the next payment date
- : next payment date
- : the fixed coupon payment for the current period
- : total cash flow at the next reset (coupon plus par value)
The intuition here is straightforward: between reset dates, we know exactly what the next coupon payment will be because the rate has already been fixed. We also know that immediately after that payment, the bond will be worth par because a new rate will be set. Therefore, the current value is simply the present value of the known coupon plus the present value of receiving par at the next reset.
At inception or immediately after a reset, this simplifies to:
where:
- : value of the floating leg immediately after a reset
- : notional principal amount
The floating-rate bond is worth exactly par. This result means that at reset dates, we do not need to forecast any future interest rates to value the floating leg. We simply know it equals the notional amount.
The Swap Value
Combining these results, the value of a receive-fixed, pay-floating swap is:
where:
- : total value of the swap
- : present value of the fixed leg
- : present value of the floating leg
This formula encapsulates the bond portfolio view of swaps: you are long a fixed-rate bond and short a floating-rate bond. When fixed rates embedded in the swap exceed current market rates, the fixed leg is worth more than par, making the swap valuable to you. Conversely, when market rates exceed the swap's fixed rate, the fixed leg is worth less than par, and the swap has negative value to you.
At inception, swaps are typically structured so that . This means the fixed rate is chosen to make the present value of fixed payments equal to the present value of floating payments. Neither party pays or receives money upfront; instead, the fixed rate is set at a level that makes the exchange fair given current market conditions.
::: {.callout-note title="Par Swap Rate"} The par swap rate is the fixed rate that makes a swap have zero initial value. It represents the market's expectation of average short-term rates over the swap's life, adjusted for the time value of money. Let's implement this valuation approach.
The positive swap value indicates that the fixed rate of 5% is favorable compared to current market rates. The receive-fixed party holds a valuable position because they are locked into receiving a higher rate than what the market currently offers for new swaps.
Key Parameters
The key parameters for swap valuation using the bond portfolio approach are fundamental inputs that determine the swap's cash flows and their present values:
- N: Notional principal amount. Used to scale the cash flows, though it is not exchanged in a standard swap. This amount determines the size of each interest payment and serves as the reference for calculating percentage-based coupon payments.
- K: Fixed interest rate. The rate paid by you, contractually determined at inception and remaining constant throughout the swap's life.
- r: Risk-free interest rate. Derived from the discount factors used to value the cash flows. In practice, this comes from the term structure observed in the market.
- δ: Payment frequency. Determines the accrual periods (e.g., 0.5 for semiannual). This parameter affects both the timing of cash flows and the calculation of each payment amount through the day count fraction.
Swap Valuation as a Portfolio of FRAs
An alternative and equally valid approach views a swap as a series of forward rate agreements. Rather than thinking of the swap as two bonds, we can decompose it into individual exchanges of fixed for floating payments at each payment date. Each payment exchange in the swap can be treated as a separate FRA. This perspective connects swap pricing directly to forward rates, which we discussed in the context of the term structure in Part II, Chapter 3.
The FRA approach offers different insights than the bond approach. While the bond view emphasizes the swap's relationship to fixed income securities, the FRA view highlights how each payment period contributes to the swap's total value. This decomposition is especially useful for analyzing where swap value comes from along the yield curve.
Forward Rate Agreement Review
Before applying this to swaps, let's review forward rate agreements and their valuation. A forward rate agreement is a contract to exchange a fixed interest payment for a floating payment at a future date, based on a rate determined at an earlier fixing date. The contract specifies a notional amount, a forward period, and a contracted rate against which the realized floating rate will be compared.
The payoff of a receive-fixed FRA settling at time for a period of length starting at is:
where:
- : accrual period length
- : notional principal
- : contracted forward rate
- : realized floating rate at time
The payoff is positive when the contracted rate exceeds the realized floating rate, meaning you receive the difference. Conversely, the payoff is negative when the floating rate exceeds the contracted rate.
To determine the present value before settlement, we need to handle the uncertainty about the future floating rate . The key insight is that the forward rate implied by today's term structure represents the market's risk-neutral expectation of the future spot rate. We replace the unknown future floating rate with the implied forward rate and discount the expected payoff:
where:
- : present value of the FRA
- : forward rate observed today for the period starting at
- : discount factor to the payment date
- : start date of the forward period
- : accrual period length
- : notional principal
- : contracted forward rate
This formula tells us that the FRA has positive value when the contracted rate exceeds the market forward rate , and negative value when the market forward rate exceeds the contracted rate.
Decomposing the Swap
With the FRA valuation framework established, we can now view the entire swap as a portfolio of these individual contracts. A swap with payment dates can be decomposed into forward rate agreements, each corresponding to one payment exchange. The value of the entire swap is the sum of these FRA values:
where:
- : total value of the swap
- : total number of payment dates
- : day count fraction for period
- : notional principal
- : fixed rate
- : forward rate for period ()
- : discount factor for payment at time
This formula reveals something important: at the inception of a swap, the fixed rate is set so that the swap has zero value (). By setting the swap value to zero and solving for the fixed rate, we can derive the par swap rate. The derivation proceeds as follows:
Solving for :
where:
- : par swap rate
- : number of payment periods
- : forward rate for period
- : day count fraction
- : discount factor
- : present value of the expected floating leg payments per unit of notional
- : present value of a fixed annuity paying 1 unit (the PV01)
The par swap rate is a weighted average of forward rates, with weights determined by the discount factors. This tells us that the par swap rate reflects the market's consensus about average short-term rates over the swap's life, with each period's forward rate weighted by its present value contribution. Periods further in the future receive lower weights because their discount factors are smaller.
Both approaches yield the same swap value, confirming their equivalence. The FRA approach provides additional insight by breaking down the swap's value across individual payment periods. This decomposition reveals which parts of the yield curve contribute most to the swap's value and helps you understand the term structure exposure embedded in your positions.
Key Parameters
The key parameters for the FRA valuation approach connect swap pricing directly to the forward rate curve and the term structure of interest rates:
- : Forward rate for period . Derived from the term structure, representing the market's expectation of future rates. These rates are implied by the relationship between spot rates at different maturities.
- : Fixed rate of the swap. Compared against the forward rate to determine the value of each period. The difference between and drives each FRA's contribution to the swap value.
- : Accrual period length (day count fraction). Used to calculate the cash flow amount for each FRA and to ensure proper annualization of interest payments.
- : Discount factor. Used to bring the future FRA payoff back to present value. These factors encode the time value of money embedded in the current term structure.
The Swap Curve
The swap curve is one of the most important interest rate curves in financial markets. It shows the par swap rates for different maturities and serves as a benchmark for pricing a wide range of interest rate products. The swap curve is essential because it's the foundation for valuing many derivatives.
Why the Swap Curve Matters
Unlike government bond yields, which can be affected by supply-demand imbalances, tax considerations, and liquidity preferences, swap rates reflect pure interest rate expectations plus credit risk adjustments. Government bond markets, while deep and liquid, are subject to various technical factors that can distort yields. For example, certain maturities may trade at premium or discount prices due to pension fund demand or central bank purchases. The swap curve is particularly important because:
- It provides a continuous term structure out to 30 years or more, offering a complete picture of interest rate expectations across the entire maturity spectrum.
- It serves as the discounting curve for many derivative products, making it the reference point for pricing options, structured products, and other interest rate instruments.
- It represents the borrowing cost for AA-rated financial institutions, providing a credit-adjusted benchmark that reflects the cost of funds in the interbank market.
- It's highly liquid, with active trading across all tenors, ensuring that the rates reflect current market conditions rather than stale prices.
Bootstrapping the Swap Curve
Bootstrapping is the process of extracting discount factors from market swap rates. The term "bootstrapping" refers to the iterative nature of the procedure: we use information derived from shorter maturities to solve for discount factors at longer maturities. The technique works iteratively, starting from the shortest maturity and working outward.
For a par swap with maturity and swap rate , the no-arbitrage condition requires that the value of the fixed leg equals the value of the floating leg. Since the floating leg is valued at par ( per unit notional) at inception, the present value of the fixed leg cash flows plus the notional repayment must also equal :
where:
- : par swap rate for maturity
- : number of payment periods up to maturity
- : day count fraction for period
- : discount factor for time (already known)
- : discount factor for the final maturity (the unknown variable)
The key observation is that at each step of the bootstrap, we know all discount factors except the one at the current maturity. All the discount factors for earlier payment dates have been determined in previous iterations of the procedure.
We can rearrange the no-arbitrage condition to solve explicitly for the unknown discount factor by separating the final term and isolating :
where:
- : discount factor for maturity
- : par swap rate for maturity
- : number of payment periods
- : day count fraction for period
- : known discount factor for time
- : day count fraction for the final period
- : remaining value to be covered by the final payment
- : total final cash flow per unit of discount factor
At each step of bootstrapping, we know all discount factors except the last one (), which we solve for using the known swap rate . This iterative process builds the complete discount curve one maturity point at a time.
The bootstrapped zero rates lie slightly above the par swap rates in an upward-sloping yield environment. This occurs because par swap rates represent a complex average of forward rates, while zero rates reflect the pure time value of money to each specific maturity. In an upward-sloping curve, the averaging effect of the coupon payments in a par swap pulls the par rate below the zero rate for the same maturity.
Key Parameters
The key parameters for bootstrapping the swap curve are the inputs and outputs of the iterative procedure that builds the discount function from market data:
- : Par swap rate. The market rate observed for a specific maturity, representing the fixed rate at which a new swap would have zero value.
- : Discount factor. The unknown variable being solved for iteratively at each maturity point. These factors encode the present value of future cash flows.
- Maturities: The tenor points of the input swap curve (e.g., 1y, 2y, 5y). Market data is typically available at standard tenors, and interpolation may be needed for intermediate points.
- Zero Rate: The continuously compounded spot rate implied by the discount factor. Calculated as , providing an alternative representation of the same information contained in the discount factors.
Determining the Par Swap Rate
Finding the par swap rate is essential for quoting new swaps and understanding fair value. When a client requests a swap quote, you must calculate the fixed rate that makes the swap worth zero at inception. We've seen the mathematical relationship between par swap rates and forward rates, but let's implement a practical calculation that works directly from discount factors.
The par swap rate can be derived from a simple no-arbitrage argument. At inception, the present value of the fixed leg must equal the present value of the floating leg, which is simply the notional amount. Rearranging this condition yields the par rate formula.
The calculated par rates closely match the market rates, showing that our bootstrapping and rate calculation are internally consistent. The small differences arise from our simplifying assumption of annual payments, whereas real swaps often have semiannual or quarterly payment frequencies.
Key Parameters
The key parameters for calculating the par swap rate connect the discount function to the fair fixed rate for a new swap:
- : Discount factors derived from the yield curve. Used to value the annuity stream of fixed payments and to determine the present value of the notional exchange.
- : Payment frequency (e.g., 1.0 for annual). Determines the weighting of each discount factor in the annuity calculation and affects the precise value of the par rate.
- : The calculated par swap rate. It sets the present value of the fixed leg equal to the floating leg (at par), ensuring zero initial value for the swap.
Mark-to-Market Swap Valuation
Once a swap is traded, its value changes as interest rates move. The initial zero value at inception gives way to positive or negative values as market conditions evolve. Mark-to-market (MTM) valuation calculates the current value of an existing swap position, which is critical for:
- Regulatory capital calculations, where financial institutions must hold capital against the potential future exposure of their derivative positions
- Collateral management under Credit Support Annexes (CSAs), where parties exchange margin based on the current value of their positions
- Profit and loss attribution, where you need to understand how rate movements have affected portfolio value
- Risk management and hedging, where understanding current exposure is essential for making informed decisions about position adjustments
Valuation After Rate Changes
Consider a 5-year receive-fixed swap entered at a rate of 5.5%. After rates change, we need to revalue the swap using current market discount factors. The mechanics are identical to initial valuation: we calculate the present value of the fixed leg and subtract the floating leg value.
When interest rates fall, receiving fixed payments becomes more valuable because you're locked into a higher rate than currently available in the market. The MTM value represents what you would pay to take over the swap position, or equivalently, the amount you could receive by unwinding the trade.
Key Parameters
The key parameters for mark-to-market valuation distinguish between the original contract terms and current market conditions:
- : The original fixed rate on the swap. This rate was set at inception and remains constant throughout the swap's life, regardless of how market rates move.
- : Notional principal amount. The reference amount used to calculate payment sizes, unchanged from inception.
- : Current market discount factors. These reflect the new interest rate environment and are used to present-value the remaining cash flows.
- : Remaining time to maturity. Only remaining cash flows are valued; past payments have no effect on current mark-to-market value.
Swap Risk Measures
Understanding how swap values respond to rate changes is crucial for risk management. You need to know how much money could be gained or lost as interest rates fluctuate. The key measures are DV01 (dollar value of a basis point) and swap duration, both of which quantify interest rate sensitivity.
DV01: Dollar Value of a Basis Point
DV01 measures the change in swap value for a one basis point (0.01%) parallel shift in the yield curve. This standardized measure allows comparison of interest rate risk across different instruments and positions. The mathematical definition is:
where:
- : dollar value of a basis point
- : value of the swap
- : yield curve level (interest rate)
- : one basis point scaling factor
The negative sign in the formula accounts for the inverse relationship between prices and yields for fixed income instruments. However, for a receive-fixed swap, DV01 is positive because the swap gains value when rates fall. This occurs because falling rates increase the present value of the fixed payments we are receiving, while the floating payments we are making adjust downward.
Swap Duration
We can also express interest rate sensitivity as duration, which provides a measure that is independent of the notional amount and easier to compare across different positions. For a receive-fixed par swap, the effective duration is approximately equal to the duration of the fixed leg (which behaves like a fixed-rate bond). This is because:
- The fixed leg has duration similar to a fixed-rate bond, with value decreasing when rates rise and increasing when rates fall.
- The floating leg has duration close to zero (since it resets to market rates), meaning its value is largely insensitive to rate changes.
- The net duration reflects primarily the fixed leg exposure, since the floating leg contributes minimal duration.
Practical Applications
Interest rate swaps are workhorses of fixed income markets, serving a variety of purposes for different market participants. Let's explore their primary applications through concrete examples that illustrate how these instruments create value.
Hedging Interest Rate Exposure
If you have floating-rate debt, you face uncertainty about future interest payments. When rates rise, borrowing costs increase, potentially squeezing profit margins or even threatening solvency. A pay-fixed, receive-floating swap allows you to convert your exposure to fixed-rate debt synthetically. You continue to make floating payments on your original loan but enter a swap to receive floating and pay fixed. The floating payments received on the swap offset the floating payments on the loan, leaving only the fixed swap payments.
The table shows that the hedge locks in a fixed borrowing cost of 6.30% (4.80% swap rate + 1.50% spread). When SOFR exceeds 4.80%, the hedge provides savings; when SOFR is below 4.80%, the unhedged position would have been cheaper, but the hedge provides certainty. For you, the value of certainty in budgeting and financial planning justifies accepting a potentially higher cost in low-rate environments.
Creating Synthetic Assets
Swaps enable the creation of synthetic instruments that may not be available directly in the market. If you own a floating-rate note but desire fixed-rate exposure, you can use a swap to transform the economic characteristics of the asset. Rather than selling the floating-rate note and purchasing a fixed-rate bond, which might involve transaction costs and tax consequences, you can overlay a swap to achieve the desired exposure.
By combining the floating rate note with the swap, you secure a fixed yield of 5.30%. The swap converts the uncertain SOFR returns into a fixed stream, adding the note's spread to the swap's fixed rate. The resulting synthetic bond has the credit exposure of the original issuer but the interest rate characteristics of a fixed-rate instrument.
Asset-Liability Management
Banks and insurance companies use swaps to manage mismatches between asset and liability duration. A duration mismatch exposes the institution to interest rate risk: if asset duration exceeds liability duration, the equity value falls when rates rise because assets decline more in value than liabilities. Consider a scenario where you have long-duration assets (mortgages) funded by short-duration liabilities (deposits):
To reduce the duration gap, you can enter a receive-floating, pay-fixed swap. This effectively shortens the duration of the asset portfolio by adding an instrument with negative duration. The pay-fixed position loses value when rates rise, offsetting some of the losses on the long-duration assets.
A notional amount of \$350 million in the pay-fixed swap is required to reduce the duration gap from 2.40 years to the target of 1.00 years. The swap's negative duration (from your perspective) offsets the asset duration, bringing the overall balance sheet closer to immunization against interest rate movements.
Worked Example: Complete Swap Analysis
Let's work through a complete example that ties together all the concepts we've covered. We need to analyze a swap position and make a trading decision.
Problem Setup
Suppose we entered a 10-year receive-fixed swap three years ago at a rate of 5.00%. Current market conditions show lower rates. We need to:
- Value the existing swap position
- Calculate the DV01 exposure
- Determine whether to unwind or maintain the position
The analysis shows the swap has significant mark-to-market profit due to the rate decline since inception. However, the large DV01 exposure means this profit is vulnerable to rising rates. We must weigh the attractiveness of the current gain against the risk of future rate increases.
Limitations and Practical Considerations
While our valuation framework captures the essential mechanics, real-world swap pricing involves several complexities we've simplified. Understanding these limitations is important for bridging the gap between textbook models and market practice.
Credit and Counterparty Risk. Our models assume both parties will honor their obligations. In practice, counterparty credit risk affects swap pricing, particularly for uncollateralized trades. The 2008 financial crisis highlighted how counterparty concerns can destabilize swap markets. Modern swaps increasingly trade through central clearinghouses that mitigate this risk through margin requirements and mutualized default funds.
Discounting Curve Selection. We've used a single curve for both projecting forward rates and discounting cash flows. After the financial crisis, market practice shifted to using overnight indexed swap (OIS) rates for discounting collateralized trades, while using term SOFR or other curves for forward rate projections. This "dual curve" or "multi-curve" framework adds complexity but better reflects the economics of modern swap markets.
Day Count Conventions and Payment Timing. Real swaps involve specific day count conventions (30/360, actual/360, actual/actual) that affect payment amounts. Payment dates may be adjusted for weekends and holidays. Our simplified annual payment assumption works for understanding concepts but requires refinement for actual trading.
Liquidity and Bid-Ask Spreads. Market swap rates reflect mid-market levels. Actual execution involves bid-ask spreads that vary with tenor, notional size, and market conditions. Dealers quote wider spreads for off-market swaps, less liquid tenors, and larger sizes.
Basis Risk. When using swaps to hedge, the floating rate on the swap may not perfectly match the floating rate on the underlying exposure. For example, a company with prime-rate borrowing hedging with a SOFR-based swap retains prime-SOFR basis risk. This basis can fluctuate, reducing hedge effectiveness.
Despite these limitations, the valuation techniques we've covered provide a solid foundation for understanding swap markets. Professional systems build on these principles while adding the granular details required for actual trading and risk management.
Summary
This chapter developed the analytical tools for valuing and applying interest rate swaps:
- Valuation Approaches: Swaps can be valued as portfolios of bonds (long fixed, short floating) or portfolios of forward rate agreements. Both methods yield identical values, offering complementary intuitions about swap economics.
- The Swap Curve: Bootstrapping extracts discount factors from market swap rates, creating a term structure essential for pricing interest rate derivatives. The swap curve serves as a benchmark for the cost of funds for major financial institutions.
- Par Swap Rate: The par swap rate is the weighted average of forward rates that gives a swap zero initial value. It represents the market's expectation of average short-term rates over the swap's life.
- Mark-to-Market Valuation: As rates change, existing swap positions gain or lose value. You benefit from falling rates when receiving fixed, while you benefit from rising rates when paying fixed.
- Risk Measures: DV01 measures the dollar value of a basis point change in rates. Swap duration approximates half the swap's remaining maturity, reflecting the fixed leg's interest rate exposure.
- Practical Applications: Swaps enable hedging (converting floating exposure to fixed), synthetic asset creation (combining floating assets with swaps to create synthetic fixed instruments), and asset-liability management (adjusting duration gaps).
Understanding swap valuation opens the door to credit derivatives and structured products. In the next chapter, we'll examine credit default swaps, which apply similar contractual structures to credit risk rather than interest rate risk.
Quiz
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