Volatility Trading and Arbitrage Strategies › Key Parameters

Michael BrenndoerferDecember 30, 20252 min read
Quantitative FinanceAll chapters
Part 11 of 15Quantitative Trading Strategies
Chapter 63Volatility Trading and Arbitrage Strategies › Key Parameters
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The key parameters for dispersion trading are:

  • w_i: Weight of each constituent in the index.
  • σ_index: Volatility of the index. Lower than average constituent volatility due to diversification.
  • σ_constituent: Volatility of individual stocks in the index.
  • ρ (rho): Pairwise correlation between constituents. The primary driver of the spread between index and constituent volatility.
In[28]:
Code
def implied_correlation(index_vol, constituent_vols, weights):
    """
    Calculate implied correlation from index and constituent volatilities.
    """
    n = len(weights)

    # Variance terms
    index_var = index_vol**2
    weighted_var_sum = np.sum(weights**2 * constituent_vols**2)

    # Cross terms (denominator)
    cross_term = 0
    for i in range(n):
        for j in range(n):
            if i != j:
                cross_term += (
                    weights[i]
                    * weights[j]
                    * constituent_vols[i]
                    * constituent_vols[j]
                )

    # Implied correlation
    if cross_term > 0:
        impl_corr = (index_var - weighted_var_sum) / cross_term
        return np.clip(impl_corr, 0, 1)  # Ensure valid correlation
    return 0.0


# Calculate implied correlation
impl_corr = implied_correlation(index_implied, constituent_implied, weights)
Out[29]:
Console
Index Implied Volatility: 22.0%
Average Constituent Implied Vol: 27.2%
Implied Correlation: 0.57

The implied correlation of 0.25 indicates that the market is pricing in a relatively low level of co-movement between stocks. If you believe actual correlation will be higher, you might sell dispersion (buy index options, sell constituent options).